Counterfactual mugging is a limiting case of Psy-kosh's non-anthropic problem

Counterfactual mugging is the typical problem used to motivate updateless decision theory: Omega flips a coin. If Heads, it asks you for $1. If Tails, it offers you $5 only if it predicts you would have given it the $1 had the coin come up Heads. Counterfactuals are confusing though, so let us re-phrase it this way: Omega flips a coin. If Heads, it offers you $ mjx-math { display: inline-block; text-align: left; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: ...