How do we make uncertainty usable?

·LessWrong··

Most AI researchers put at least 5% on advanced AI causing human extinction or extreme disempowerment. The most cited scientists of all time are Yoshua Bengio and Geoffrey Hinton and they both put extinction at 10% or more. There is a distinct lack of global response to this kind of message from relevant scientists.One reason people purport to not be impressed by these chances of extinction is that they are subjective probabilities, not verified frequencies or arising from a more formal process....

Read full article →

Related Articles

Claude Opus 5.5
km144 · Hacker News · 9h ago
Microsoft killed FoxPro in 2007. Anyway, here's FoxPro revived
boredjohnny · Hacker News · 5h ago
I asked Meta’s Muse for its filesystem and it sent me 6.8GB
Aeroi · Hacker News · 10h ago
There's a high chance of devices being sold with GrapheneOS preinstalled in 2027
Cider9986 · Hacker News · 8h ago
SAML: A fractal of bad design
aray07 · Hacker News · 7h ago