Import AI 448: AI R&D; Bytedance's CUDA-writing agent; on-device satellite AI

Welcome to Import AI, a newsletter about AI research. Import AI runs on arXiv and feedback from readers. If you’d like to support this, please subscribe.Subscribe nowAI progress is moving faster than even well regarded forecasters can guess:…Ajeya Cotra updates her timelines…“On Jan 14th, I made predictions about AI progress in 2026. My forecasts for software engineering capabilities already feel much too conservative,” writes Ajeya Cotra in a blog. Ajeya is a longtime AI thinker who has done so...