Integrated Strategic Forecasting: A New RAND x Metaculus Methodology

RAND and Metaculus just published Integrated Strategic Forecasting: A New Methodology to Enhance Decision Advantage, co-authored by Anca Agachi and Miriam Pasternak Jørgensen of RAND and Metaculus's Molly Hickman. The paper outlines an exploratory approach to futures and anticipatory planning that we're calling integrated strategic forecasting (ISF). You can read the whole paper here. This is a little summary.Greater than the sum of their partsWe're in what the paper calls a permacrisis. Things ...