Ireland’s GDPR regulator will still be investigating when AGI arrives

·LessWrong··

Ireland’s cross-border GDPR cases take a median 6.2 years to decide. Forecasters give strong AGI better than even odds of arriving first. The EU’s AI Act is built to be enforced the same way. data/codeTLDR:The median cross-border case takes 6.2 years (counting still-open investigations).66% of the 2018-2020 cross-border cases were still open at 4.5 years.Metaculus’s median forecast for strong AGI is 4.5 years out.If AI Act cases take as long, strong AGI will probably arrive before they close, so...

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