It’s 2030 and we fucked up. How did it happen?

[Linkpost to this. Loosely based on a lecture I gave in the recursive conference with the same title. Don’t take “2030” literally¹ —it could also be 2035 or 2040. As always, opinions are my own and do not represent OpenAI or Harvard.]It is quite possible that AI will usher in a golden age for humanity. As Amodei writes in “Machines of Loving Grace,” AI might enable the “prevention and treatment of nearly all natural infectious diseases,” the “elimination of most cancer,” “prevention of Alzheimer...