MacKenzie Scott's $26 billion, in QALYs: an interactive, evidence-weighted CEA

Published on July 12, 2026 7:45 PM GMTEpistemic status: a fully parameterized Monte Carlo model whose every input is inspectable and overridable — not a measured fact. The cost-effectiveness anchors come from published causal studies; the judgment priors (evidence-credibility tiers, realization, allocation concentration) were drafted by Claude and reviewed by me, and each is a slider. I'd value attacks on specific parameters over general takes.Update (July 13): A reader caught the model's bigges...