Q2.5 2026 Timelines Update: Uplift and Revenue

·LessWrong··

Tl;dr: Our timelines haven’t changed much (they got slightly shorter) but our modeling and evidence base have noticeably improved, so we feel somewhat more confident.SummaryWe intend to regularly update our AI timelines forecasts as new evidence comes in and new analyses are done. Today’s “Q2” update was delayed by the crunch to publish AI 2040: Plan A, our domestic regulation blog post, and the time needed to implement and document changes to our model.The original AI Futures Model predicted wh...

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