The Next Great Distribution Shift

Thank you to Casey Winters, Aaron White, Dan Hockenmaier, Fareed Mosavat and Adam Fishman for reading early versions of this and providing feedback. They are all smarter than me so you should go follow them.Note: Since publishing this post, my prediction has started to play out. ChatGPT launched the early version of their App SDK and is planning on a bigger launch sometime in late 2025/early 2026. To know what to do next, I suggest reading this post: How To Navigate The AI Distribution Shift.The...