Sentient Welfare Across Three Futures

Cross-posted from my website. Three categories of futures, depending on how AI goes: ASI timelines are long. ASI timelines are short, and we're on track to solving AI alignment. ASI timelines are short, and we're not on track to solving AI alignment. If we want to make a good future for all sentient beings, each of these futures has different implications for what we should work on. If timelines are long... ...we can prioritize work that takes a long time to complete. That includes: foundational...