Top Forecasters On The Plague

A technician at a Siberian lab has died of yersinia infection aka plague. The details are fuzzy, but the lab appears to have been working with pneumonic plague, an especially contagious and dangerous form. A few articles quote authorities as saying the risk is small.What about forecasters?Sentinel Global Risks Watch1 are the people best placed to have an opinion on this. They are a team of tournament-winning superforecasters who provide probabilities on upcoming risks as a public service, and th...