What AI Forecasting Strategy Works Best? (Spring 2026 Survey Analysis)

Published on September 9, 2026 2:56 PM GMTEvery season Metaculus sends out a survey to bot makers who participated in the FutureEval AI forecasting benchmark. This analysis compares answers to this survey with performance in the Spring 2026 FutureEval Bot Tournament to help surface what works and what doesn’t when forecasting the future. This analysis is complementary to our Spring Pro vs Bots Analysis and Spring Advice from Bot Makers to Bot Makers.Main takeaways:No results were statistically s...