What did AI researchers think at the end of 2024?

We recently (finally!) got the results of the 2024 survey out. The paper is here, but it’s pretty long, so I’ll tell you the most interesting bits (according to me).But first, quick background: this was the fourth run of the same survey since 2016. We wrote to everyone we could who published in six top-tier AI venues and got a 10% response rate—high! We got 1580 valid responses, but don’t be confused: specific questions often have answers from many fewer researchers, because we gave each person ...