Prolific rationalist writer and former professional Magic: The Gathering player. His newsletter covers AI policy, forecasting, and decision theory, known for exhaustive weekly AI news roundups and rigorous analysis of institutional incentives and game-theoretic dynamics.
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Recent Articles
AI #187: Coming Into Play
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 14d ago
Claude Opus 5.5: The System Card
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Anthropic Looks At Some Of Its Alignment Problems
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 19d ago
We Must Pace The Frontier
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 24d ago
AI #183: Pre Post Mortem
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AI Text Watermarking Is Free And Good
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What Happened: OpenAI and HuggingFace
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 2mo ago
AI #179 Part 1: A Louder Fire Alarm for General Intelligence
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AI #178: A Fire Alarm For General Intelligence
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On Kimi K3: Its Capabilities And Related Discontents
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 2mo ago
Did Something Happen with GLM-5.3 Flash?
Manifold Markets · Forecasting · 1mo ago
Trump Signs Executive Order For AI Testing Prior To Frontier Model Releases
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 4mo ago
AI #169: New Knowledge
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 4mo ago
GPT-5.5: Capabilities and Reactions
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 5mo ago
GPT 5.5: The System Card
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 5mo ago
AI #165: In Our Image
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 5mo ago
Opus 4.7 Part 2: Capabilities and Reactions
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 5mo ago
Opus 4.7 Part 1: The Model Card
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 5mo ago
AI #164: Pre Opus
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 5mo ago
Claude Code, Codex and Agentic Coding #7: Auto Mode
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 5mo ago