Zvi Mowshowitz

AI·Don't Worry About the Vase ↗

Prolific rationalist writer and former professional Magic: The Gathering player. His newsletter covers AI policy, forecasting, and decision theory, known for exhaustive weekly AI news roundups and rigorous analysis of institutional incentives and game-theoretic dynamics.

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Recent Articles

AI #179 Part 1: A Louder Fire Alarm for General Intelligence
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 6d ago
Will Opus 5 Slay Spires better than Sol?
Manifold Markets · Forecasting · 7d ago
AI #178: A Fire Alarm For General Intelligence
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 13d ago
On Kimi K3: Its Capabilities And Related Discontents
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 16d ago
Will Kimi K3 cause widespread societal chaos?
Manifold Markets · Forecasting · 19d ago
Trump Signs Executive Order For AI Testing Prior To Frontier Model Releases
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 2mo ago
AI #169: New Knowledge
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 2mo ago
GPT-5.5: Capabilities and Reactions
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 3mo ago
GPT 5.5: The System Card
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 3mo ago
AI #165: In Our Image
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 3mo ago
Opus 4.7 Part 2: Capabilities and Reactions
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 3mo ago
Opus 4.7 Part 1: The Model Card
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 3mo ago
AI #164: Pre Opus
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 3mo ago
Claude Code, Codex and Agentic Coding #7: Auto Mode
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 3mo ago
Claude Mythos #3: Capabilities and Additions
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 3mo ago
Claude Mythos #2: Cybersecurity and Project Glasswing
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 3mo ago
Claude Mythos: The System Card
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 3mo ago
AI #163: Mythos Quest
Don't Worry About the Vase · AI · 3mo ago
Above human scores on ARC-AGI-3 in 2026?
Manifold Markets · Forecasting · 4mo ago
Will many open source advocates agree frontier models have crossed capability thresholds too dangerous to open source?
Manifold Markets · Forecasting · 27mo ago