FutureEval Forecasting Bot-Maker Survey: What Winners Did Differently by grace_mclain

Me­tac­u­lus has wrapped up the Fall 2025 Fu­tureE­val Bot Tour­na­ment. This tour­na­ment (formerly known as AI Bench­mark­ing) is part of the Fu­tureE­val pro­ject, mea­sur­ing the abil­ity of AI agents to pre­dict fu­ture out­comes in Science, Tech­nol­ogy, Health, Geopoli­tics, AI it­self, and more. Beyond tour­na­ments on Me­tac­u­lus, fore­cast­ing is a key skill in many real-world tasks, en­abling plan­ning, risk as­sess­ment, and de­ci­sion-mak­ing.As we’ve done af­ter pre­vi­ous rounds,...