Home/ForecastingIn 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?Scott Alexander·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·February 20, 202366% — undefined traders, $488254 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesAn agent’s account of its own work is not evidence of what it did by KrishanKVermaKrishanKVerma · Nuno Sempere · 15h agoGPT 7 (OpenAI) release dateBayesian · Manifold Markets · 1d agoResearch Report: A genetic basis for potential nociception in cochineal bugs (Dactylopius coccus; Hemiptera: Dactylopiidae) by Meghan BarrettMeghan Barrett · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoWe know who lives inside wild fish. We don’t know what happens in there by Pablo SarPablo Sar · Nuno Sempere · 3d agoWill Grok 4.7 be released on 9/11?Eli Goldfine · Manifold Markets · 4d ago