Home/ForecastingIn 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?Scott Alexander·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·February 20, 202375% — undefined traders, $39622 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesAn agent’s account of its own work is not evidence of what it did by KrishanKVermaKrishanKVerma · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoGPT 7 (OpenAI) release dateBayesian · Manifold Markets · 2d agoResearch Report: A genetic basis for potential nociception in cochineal bugs (Dactylopius coccus; Hemiptera: Dactylopiidae) by Meghan BarrettMeghan Barrett · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoWe know who lives inside wild fish. We don’t know what happens in there by Pablo SarPablo Sar · Nuno Sempere · 4d agoWill Grok 4.7 be released on 9/11?Eli Goldfine · Manifold Markets · 5d ago