MacKenzie Scott’s $26 billion, in QALYs: an interactive, evidence-weighted CEA by Max Ghenis

Epistemic sta­tus: a fully pa­ram­e­ter­ized Monte Carlo model whose ev­ery in­put is in­spectable and over­rid­able — not a mea­sured fact. The cost-effec­tive­ness an­chors come from pub­lished causal stud­ies; the judg­ment pri­ors (ev­i­dence-cred­i­bil­ity tiers, re­al­iza­tion, al­lo­ca­tion con­cen­tra­tion) were drafted by Claude and re­viewed by me, and each is a slider. I’d value at­tacks on spe­cific pa­ram­e­ters over gen­eral takes.Up­date (July 13): A reader caught the model’s bigg...