Home/ForecastingStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? [Polymarket]Bill Clinton·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·June 25, 20261% — undefined traders, $16933 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesAim at agency: institutional design under preference uncertainty, and why alignment needs it by act65act65 · Nuno Sempere · 12h agoCoercion and Deception in AI-to-AI Management by Jonah WoodwardJonah Woodward · Nuno Sempere · 13h agoConsequentialist Foundations for Expected Utility by Vasco Grilo🔸Vasco Grilo🔸 · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoTakeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028?MNX · Manifold Markets · 2d agoToby Ord on where AGI timelines go wrong by 80000_Hours80000_Hours · Nuno Sempere · 4d ago