Strategy Advice from AI Forecasting Bot Makers (Spring 2026) by Benjamin Wilson 🔸

·Nuno Sempere··

As part of the Spring 2026 Fu­tureE­val tour­na­ment, we ran a sur­vey. Among other things, this sur­vey asked par­ti­ci­pants what other bot mak­ers should learn from their bot-mak­ing ex­pe­rience. 37 bot mak­ers an­swered this ques­tion. We share their anonymized/​ran­dom­ized re­sponses in this piece along with over­ar­ch­ing themes. The the­matic anal­y­sis was run and writ­ten by AI. All quotes are taken di­rectly from the sur­vey. Note that many par­ti­ci­pants aren’t able to do ex­ten­si...

Read full article →

Related Articles

Will an AI do Magic before EOY 2027? [See description]
calour · Manifold Markets · 1d ago
How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns?
Caleb Biddulph · Manifold Markets · 1d ago
Assessing the impact of safety work needs equilibrium analysis (now more than ever) by Simon Skade
Simon Skade · Nuno Sempere · 2d ago
What AI Forecasting Strategy Works Best? (Spring 2026 Survey Analysis) by Benjamin Wilson 🔸
Benjamin Wilson 🔸 · Nuno Sempere · 2d ago
FutureEval Spring Results: Pros Beat Bots, but the Gap is Nearly Gone by Benjamin Wilson 🔸
Benjamin Wilson 🔸 · Nuno Sempere · 2d ago