Subjective Probabilities should be Sharp by Vasco Grilo🔸

·Nuno Sempere··

This is a linkpost for Sub­jec­tive Prob­a­bil­ities should be Sharp by Adam Elga, which was origi­nally pub­lished in Philoso­phers’ Im­print in May 2010. Here is an er­rata for it. Below is a sum­mary from Claude Opus 4.8 High. Adam said “I took a quick look and at first glance I saw noth­ing wrong with the sum­mary”. I also think the sum­mary is ac­cu­rate based on my read of the ar­ti­cle. I used the fol­low­ing prompt. “Hi. Make an in-depth sum­mary of the pa­per “Sub­jec­tive Prob­a­bil­it...

Read full article →

Related Articles

Live models & dashboards of anticipated ~AI-wealth going to ~EA by The Unjournal (bot)
The Unjournal (bot) · Nuno Sempere · 53m ago
Will any of Levent Alpöge’s mathematical results with Claude be proven flawed by the end of the year?
Sketchy · Manifold Markets · 14h ago
Could an AI’s secret loyalty change? by Shu-Hao Liu
Shu-Hao Liu · Nuno Sempere · 1d ago
📈 Will Nvidia report Q2 FY2027 revenue above $92 billion?
Christos · Manifold Markets · 2d ago
The Copier Line: What ForecastBench’s Market Scores Actually Measure. by Dominus
Dominus · Nuno Sempere · 3d ago