What AI Forecasting Strategy Works Best? (Spring 2026 Survey Analysis) by Benjamin Wilson 🔸

Every sea­son Me­tac­u­lus sends out a sur­vey to bot mak­ers who par­ti­ci­pated in the Fu­tureE­val AI fore­cast­ing bench­mark. This anal­y­sis com­pares an­swers to this sur­vey with perfor­mance in the Spring 2026 Fu­tureE­val Bot Tour­na­ment to help sur­face what works and what doesn’t when fore­cast­ing the fu­ture. This anal­y­sis is com­ple­men­tary to our Spring Pro vs Bots Anal­y­sis and Spring Ad­vice from Bot Mak­ers to Bot Mak­ers.Main take­aways:No re­sults were statis­ti­cally s...