Home/ForecastingWill a Chinese AI model rank in the top 10 on the LMArena Text leaderboard on August 1?Adam Braff·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·January 12, 202667% — undefined traders, $898 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesAI safety prizes by OscarD🔸OscarD🔸 · Nuno Sempere · 21h agoIs a pause enforceable? New paper out! by OttoOtto · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoBTC above or below $63k at 18:00 UTC on 31 July?Pyroll · Manifold Markets · 2d agoNew from Faunalytics: Animal Factory, Factory Farm, Or Something Else? Testing The Language Of Advocacy. by JLRiediJLRiedi · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoWill Anthropic somehow patch the Opus 5 base-model-like behavior from "---" prompts (or pull the model) by September 1?Keenan Pepper · Manifold Markets · 2d ago