Home/ForecastingWill a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?MP·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·February 13, 202346% — undefined traders, $2009812 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesNew Research: Climate Mitigation is Overlooked by EA by Dan SteinDan Stein · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoWill any non-astronaut be "commuting to the moon" before 2040?Panfilo · Manifold Markets · 1d agoLexical Filtering: Deciding under Indeterminacy with Lexically Ordered Values by Kuutti LappalainenKuutti Lappalainen · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoResearch Report: A genetic basis for potential nociception in lac bugs (Kerria lacca; Hemiptera: Kerriidae) by Meghan BarrettMeghan Barrett · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoWill at least one U.S. state enact a binding statewide moratorium on new hyperscale data centers before 2027?Kakonomics · Manifold Markets · 3d ago