Home/ForecastingWill a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026?Bayesian·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·October 2, 20266% — undefined traders, $362398 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesHow many people will attend EAG NYC 2026?d · Manifold Markets · 19h agoGPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?Bayesian · Manifold Markets · 20h agoOctober 2026 AI model releasesprismatic · Manifold Markets · 2d agoTrusted Deployers: Open Model Compromise by Ryan BakerRyan Baker · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoRuntime Assurance Meets Corrigibility: What Happens When an Independent Safety Boundary Blocks an AI Agent? by IdorenyinIdorenyin · Nuno Sempere · 2d ago