Home/ForecastingWill an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?Matthew Barnett·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·March 16, 202393% — undefined traders, $45459 volumeRead full article →Related Articleswill an AI get a nobel prize before 2040?Cimorene Blume · Manifold Markets · 1d agoWill there be a forest fire caused by firework/celebration on July 4th in United States?OnlySlides · Manifold Markets · 1d agoHow to Solve AI Biosecurity by Sophie KimSophie Kim · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoThe Learning Trap: What Simulated Clueless Agents Reveal About the Unawareness Argument by dan.pandori 🔸dan.pandori 🔸 · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoTo minimize the overall amount of suffering one causes, is it better to eat an organic Vegan diet, or eat a conventional Vegan diet and donate the money saved? Measured in neuron deaths of conscious animals and using AI estimates. Comparisons to non-Vegan diets included. by PreciousPigPreciousPig · Nuno Sempere · 2d ago