Home/ForecastingWill an Anthropic model autonomously hack an external entity in 2026?Ben·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·July 22, 202692% — undefined traders, $5753 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesIs a pause enforceable? New paper out! by OttoOtto · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoBTC above or below $63k at 18:00 UTC on 31 July?Pyroll · Manifold Markets · 1d agoNew from Faunalytics: Animal Factory, Factory Farm, Or Something Else? Testing The Language Of Advocacy. by JLRiediJLRiedi · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoWill Anthropic somehow patch the Opus 5 base-model-like behavior from "---" prompts (or pull the model) by September 1?Keenan Pepper · Manifold Markets · 1d agoWill Opus 5 Slay Spires better than Sol?Zvi Mowshowitz · Manifold Markets · 2d ago