Home/ForecastingWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?Ben·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·August 30, 202685% — undefined traders, $2219 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesWill the worst day in cyber security in 2026 be after 10/21/2026?Zvi Mowshowitz · Manifold Markets · 10h agoWill there be a massive internet outage before 2028?Plant · Manifold Markets · 1d agoSpread it out vs keep it in one place: testing two ways to protect a model’s refusal behaviour by Amirtha_YazhiniAmirtha_Yazhini · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoNobody is measuring whether humans can still catch AI’s mistakes by ANTHONIO OLADIMEJIANTHONIO OLADIMEJI · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoWill Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before October 26, 2026?winged_one · Manifold Markets · 3d ago