Home/ForecastingWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?Ben·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·August 30, 202685% — undefined traders, $1759 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesResults: Cluelessness Critiques Competition by Will AldredWill Aldred · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoHow common is omnicidality? by a_maia_mai · Nuno Sempere · 1d ago[Will Brown] Will Transformative AI look like an abundance of specialized models, in August 2027?Bayesian · Manifold Markets · 1d agoHow much AI suffering matters does not depend (much) on how we count AI systems by LeonardDungLeonardDung · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoGoogle Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Chad · Manifold Markets · 3d ago