Home/ForecastingWill China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?cshunter·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·December 10, 20239% — undefined traders, $10784 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesGermany’s Got Talent. How do we get it to work on AI safety? by Melanie Melanie · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoIs the Hormuz crisis slowing down AI development? by hroelanthroelant · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoUS Average Gas Price Is $4.400 or more on any day in September 2026?Jack · Manifold Markets · 3d agoWill an AI do Magic before EOY 2027? [See description]calour · Manifold Markets · 3d agoHow many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns?Caleb Biddulph · Manifold Markets · 3d ago