Home/ForecastingWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?Joshua·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·July 21, 202396% — undefined traders, $10235990 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesNew Research: Climate Mitigation is Overlooked by EA by Dan SteinDan Stein · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoWill any non-astronaut be "commuting to the moon" before 2040?Panfilo · Manifold Markets · 1d agoLexical Filtering: Deciding under Indeterminacy with Lexically Ordered Values by Kuutti LappalainenKuutti Lappalainen · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoResearch Report: A genetic basis for potential nociception in lac bugs (Kerria lacca; Hemiptera: Kerriidae) by Meghan BarrettMeghan Barrett · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoWill at least one U.S. state enact a binding statewide moratorium on new hyperscale data centers before 2027?Kakonomics · Manifold Markets · 3d ago