Home/ForecastingWill I see the total solar eclipse for at least ~5 seconds tomorrow?Eli Goldfine·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·August 11, 202627% — undefined traders, $428 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesGeoffrey Irving on how to solve alignment before superintelligence arrives by 80000_Hours80000_Hours · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoAim at agency: institutional design under preference uncertainty, and why alignment needs it by act65act65 · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoCoercion and Deception in AI-to-AI Management by Jonah WoodwardJonah Woodward · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoConsequentialist Foundations for Expected Utility by Vasco Grilo🔸Vasco Grilo🔸 · Nuno Sempere · 3d agoTakeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028?MNX · Manifold Markets · 4d ago