Home/ForecastingWill many open source advocates agree frontier models have crossed capability thresholds too dangerous to open source?Zvi Mowshowitz·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·May 8, 20242% — undefined traders, $31437 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesNew Research: Climate Mitigation is Overlooked by EA by Dan SteinDan Stein · Nuno Sempere · 1d agoWill any non-astronaut be "commuting to the moon" before 2040?Panfilo · Manifold Markets · 1d agoLexical Filtering: Deciding under Indeterminacy with Lexically Ordered Values by Kuutti LappalainenKuutti Lappalainen · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoResearch Report: A genetic basis for potential nociception in lac bugs (Kerria lacca; Hemiptera: Kerriidae) by Meghan BarrettMeghan Barrett · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoWill at least one U.S. state enact a binding statewide moratorium on new hyperscale data centers before 2027?Kakonomics · Manifold Markets · 3d ago