Home/ForecastingWill many open source advocates agree frontier models have crossed capability thresholds too dangerous to open source?Zvi Mowshowitz·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·May 8, 20242% — undefined traders, $31437 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesLandmark new METR report: Can AIs already start ‘rogue deployments’ inside AI companies? by 80000_Hours80000_Hours · Nuno Sempere · 22h agoWill the next full gemini model be frontier at coding?Ian Shea · Manifold Markets · 1d agoWill there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026?Joseph Caissie · Manifold Markets · 2d agoRobots reliably do my laundry by?Mochi · Manifold Markets · 2d agoWill the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?Ian Shea · Manifold Markets · 2d ago