Home/ForecastingWill OpenAI announce a massively recursive model, a new mechinterp system, and non-token based pricing, before December?Bayesian·Manifold Markets·Forecasting·October 15, 20264% — undefined traders, $4333 volumeRead full article →Related ArticlesWill the worst day in cyber security in 2026 be after 10/21/2026?Zvi Mowshowitz · Manifold Markets · 9h agoWill there be a massive internet outage before 2028?Plant · Manifold Markets · 1d agoSpread it out vs keep it in one place: testing two ways to protect a model’s refusal behaviour by Amirtha_YazhiniAmirtha_Yazhini · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoNobody is measuring whether humans can still catch AI’s mistakes by ANTHONIO OLADIMEJIANTHONIO OLADIMEJI · Nuno Sempere · 2d agoWill Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before October 26, 2026?winged_one · Manifold Markets · 3d ago