[New Paper] Prioritizing Risks from AI: A Delphi Study of 272 Experts by Peter Slattery 🔸

TL;DR: We ran a Delphi study with 272 in­ter­na­tional AI ex­perts to pri­ori­tize 24 AI risk do­mains from the MIT AI Risk Do­main Tax­on­omy. In a busi­ness-as-usual sce­nario, ex­perts judged a more than 10% chance of catas­trophic out­comes (i.e., ‘more than 1 mil­lion hu­man deaths or more than a USD 100B in fi­nan­cial loss or civ­i­liza­tional-scale in­tan­gible im­pacts’) from 18 of our 24 AI risk do­mains over the next five years. They also iden­ti­fied a re­spon­si­bil­ity gap: AI user...